详细信息

经贸整合、利益认知与政治立场:台湾民众两岸经贸态度的动态分析(2004—2016)    

Economic Integration, Interest Cognition and Political Stand——A Dynamic Analysis of the Taiwan Public Attitudes towards the Cross-Strait Economic Exchanges (2004—2016)

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:经贸整合、利益认知与政治立场:台湾民众两岸经贸态度的动态分析(2004—2016)

英文题名:Economic Integration, Interest Cognition and Political Stand——A Dynamic Analysis of the Taiwan Public Attitudes towards the Cross-Strait Economic Exchanges (2004—2016)

作者:陈玮[1];耿曙[2]

机构:[1]华东理工大学社会与公共管理学院,上海200237;[2]浙江大学社会学系,浙江杭州310058

年份:2019

期号:2

起止页码:1

中文期刊名:台湾研究集刊

外文期刊名:Taiwan Research Journal

收录:CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2017】;CSSCI:【CSSCI2019_2020】;

基金:国家社科基金重大招标项目"台湾的中华民族认同与记忆研究"(18ZDA159)子课题"台湾中华民族认同民意调查分析与资料库建立"

语种:中文

中文关键词:政治经济;两岸关系;阶级政治;认同政治;利益认知

外文关键词:political economy;cross Strait relations;class politics;identity politics;interest cognition

摘要:两岸经贸全面开放迄今已历十载,对国家统一而言,此政策承载着赢取台湾民心的重任。那么,台湾地区民众两岸经贸态度如何,又经历哪些变化?本文在扩宽时间纵轴后发现,他们的两岸经贸态度曾经历剧烈起伏——从早先的热烈期待,到中期的不安质疑,再恢复至近期的友好欢迎。在两岸经贸格局、台湾经济社会结构均未明显变化的背景下,是什么导致台湾民众两岸经贸态度的巨大变化?为了回答上述问题,作者针对台湾地区4轮平行民调(2004、2008、2012、2016年)展开分析,发现影响台湾民众态度的因素存在明显的阶段差异:在开放交流之前与初期,认同因素主导民众的经贸态度,随着两岸交流扩大,阶级因素的影响越发重要。本研究进一步发现,由于承受能力较差,相对剥夺感较强,台湾社会底层民众对两岸经贸的反应更加强烈,立场更为鲜明。从上述发现来看,民众通过感受经贸交流对切身利害的影响,然后形成政治态度。换言之,是主观感受,而非客观利益,左右了台湾民众的政策立场。本研究一方面追踪台湾政治如何从"认同政治"转向"阶级政治",另一方面也以两岸经贸互动为案例,厘清"经济"与"政治"间复杂的交互关系。
It has been a decade since the opening up of the cross Strait economic exchanges by the mainland govern ment to win the popular will of Taiwan. However we are wondering what attitude the people of Taiwan hold towards it? Based on the time series data this paper finds that their attitudes towards the cross Strait business exchanges have experi enced dramatic ups and downs from warm expectations earlier to uneasy doubts in the mid term and then to the recent friendly welcome. Then what has led to the great change in their attitude under the background of the cross Strait economic and trade pattern and the economic and social structure of Taiwan? In order to answer the above questions this paper con ducts an analysis of four rounds of parallel polls in Taiwan (2004 2008 2012 and 2016) and finds that there are obvious stage differences in the factors affecting their attitudes that is before and at the initial stage of the exchanges identity fac tors dominated their business attitudes while with the expansion of the exchanges the influence of the class factors became more and more important. This paper also finds that the response of the lower class to the exchanges tends to be stronger and their stand clearer because of the poor bearing capability and a strong sense of relative deprivation. The findings show that the key elements concerning the cross Strait exchanges and the political attitudes of pepole in Taiwan are not the objective in terests but the subjective feelings which influence their policy stance. On the one hand this paper tracks how Taiwan poli tics changed from “identity politics” to “class politics”. On the other hand it clarifies the complex relations between “economy” and “politics” by taking the cross Strait business as an example.

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