文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：Analysis of technology pathway of China's liquid fuel production with consideration of energy supply security and carbon price

作者：Bingqing Ding[1];Marek Makowski[2,3];Jinyang Zhao[1];Hongtao Ren[1,2];Behnam Zakeri[2];Tieju Ma[1,2]

机构：[1]School of Business,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai,200237,China;[2]International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis,Schlossplatz 1,A-2361,Laxenburg,Austria;[3]Systems Research Institute,Polish Academy of Sciences,Newelska 6,01-447,Warsaw,Poland

年份：2023

卷号：8

期号：1

起止页码：1

中文期刊名：Journal of Management Science and Engineering

外文期刊名：管理科学学报（英文版）

收录：Scopus;CSCD:【CSCD2023_2024】；

基金：National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant numbers 71961137012,71874055);National Science Centre,Poland(2018/30/Q/HS4/00764);research support by the Energy,Climate and Environment Program of International Institute for Applied System Analysis(IIASA)within the Young Scientists Summer Program(YSSP).

语种：英文

中文关键词：Liquid fuel production;System optimization model;Energy supply security;Carbon prices

摘要：Efforts to provide alternative resources and technologies for producing liquid fuel have recently been intensified.Different levels of dependence on oil imports and carbon prices have a significant impact on the composition of the cost-minimizing portfolio of technologies.Considering such factors,how should China plan its future liquid fuel industry?The model for supporting the technology portfolio and capacity configuration that minimizes the total system cost until 2045 is described in this study.The results obtained for different carbon prices and levels of dependence on oil import indicate that the oil-to-liquid fuel(OTL)will remain dominant in China's liquid fuel industry over the next three decades.If the carbon price is low,the coal-to-liquid fuel(CTL)process is competitive.For a high carbon price,the biomass-to-liquid fuel(BTL)technology expands more rapidly.The results also reveal that developing the BTL and CTL can effectively reduce the oil-import dependency;moreover,a high carbon price can lead to the CTL being replaced with the low-carbon technology(e.g.,BTL).Improvement in energy raw material conversion and application of CO_(2) removal technologies are also effective methods to control carbon emissions for achieving the carbon emission goals and ultimately emission reduction targets.