文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Uncertainty Analysis and Resource Allocation in Construction Project Management

作者：Zhong, Yong[1];Chen, Zhigao[1];Zhou, Zhong[2];Hu, Haibo[3]

机构：[1]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, 130 Meilong Rd, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China;[2]Shanghai Inst Technol, Div Management Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China;[3]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Management Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China

年份：2018

卷号：30

期号：4

起止页码：293

外文期刊名：ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT JOURNAL

收录：;EI(收录号：20185006246507);WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:000452842600006)，SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:000452842600006)】；

基金：This work was partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC): [Grant Numbers 61473119, 71501130] and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities: [Grant Number 222201718006].

语种：英文

外文关键词：Uncertainty; Resource Allocation; Project Management

摘要：The premise of dealing with uncertainty in this article is to figure out the impact of uncertainties on project performance. This article proposes a framework for quantitative analysis that combines a fuzzy mathematics approach with system dynamics theory. Simulations generated using a model based on the framework show that uncertainties affect project performance by changing project parameters, and the mechanisms involved depend on the sources of the uncertainties. Furthermore, while technical and financial uncertainties mainly influence project costs, uncertainties related to markets, regulations, and organizational structures affect both project duration and cost. Finally, strategies for coping with uncertainties in a resource allocation perspective are presented.