文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：广东省CO_2排放变化的社会经济影响因素

英文题名：Socioeconomic Factors Influencing CO_2 Emissions in Guangdong Province

作者：吴晓慧[1];余亚东[2];梁赛[1,3]

机构：[1]北京师范大学环境学院,北京100875;[2]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237;[3]广东工业大学环境生态工程研究院,大湾区城市环境安全与绿色发展教育部重点实验室,广东广州510006

年份：2021

卷号：34

期号：3

起止页码：772

中文期刊名：环境科学研究

外文期刊名：Research of Environmental Sciences

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;Scopus;北大核心:【北大核心2020】；CSCD:【CSCD2021_2022】；

基金：国家自然科学基金项目(No.71874014,71704055)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：CO_2排放;社会经济影响因素;投入产出分析;结构分解分析

外文关键词：CO_2 emissions;socioeconomic drivers;input-output analysis;structural decomposition analysis

摘要：作为我国经济最为发达的省份之一,广东省社会经济可持续发展面临CO_2排放量增长的挑战.从多角度分析广东省CO_2排放变化的社会经济影响因素,有助于其实现低碳发展.基于投入产出模型,从生产、需求和供应角度分析1987—2015年广东省CO_2排放量的变化;此外,采用结构分解分析方法,从需求和供应角度量化广东省各种社会经济因素对CO_2排放变化的相对贡献.结果表明:①与生产端相比,需求侧和供给侧的研究有助于识别不同的关键行业,如建筑业(需求侧)、金融和保险业(供给侧).②降低碳排放强度是减少广东省CO_2排放的主要因素,而人均最终需求水平和人均初始投入增加是推动广东省CO_2排放增加的主要因素.③生产结构、最终需求结构和初始投入结构变化导致CO_2排放量略有增加,表明广东省具有较大的通过调整结构性因素减排CO_2的潜力.综上,建议除了生产端CO_2减排措施外,广东省还应采取需求侧和供给侧相关措施,如优化消费行为、产品分配行为和初始投入结构等.
As one of the most developed provinces in China,the sustainable economic and social development of Guangdong Province is facing the challenge of increasing CO_2 emissions.Analyzing the socioeconomic factors of CO_2 emission changes from multiple perspectives is conducive to the low-carbon development in Guangdong Province.Based on the input-output analysis,this study investigates the evolution of CO_2 emissions from the perspectives of production,demand,and supply during 1987-2015.We also quantify the relative contribution of socioeconomic factors to CO_2 emissions during this period from the perspectives of demand and supply using structural decomposition analysis.The results show that:(1)Compared with the production-side results,the demand-side and supply-side results can identify new critical sectors that lead to CO_2 emissions(e.g.,the construction sector for demand-side results and the finance and insurance sector for supply-side results).(2)The decrease in CO_2 emission intensity is the major factor mitigating CO_2 emissions,while the per capita final demand and per capita primary inputs are the dominate factors for CO_2 emission increase in Guangdong Province during 1987-2015.(3)Changes in the production structure,final demand structure and primary input structure lead to slight increase in CO_2 emissions,indicating there is great potentials for future CO_2 mitigation by optimizing the structural factors in Guangdong Province.In summary,in addition to CO_2 reduction measures on the production side,Guangdong should also pay attention to demand-side and supply-side measures such as optimizing product consumption,product allocation,and primary inputs.