文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Habit Dependence in Car Ownership and Commuter Travel Mode Choice: Evidence from a Longitudinal Survey in China

作者：Wu, Jingwen[1,2]; Ma, Ye[3]

机构：[1] College of Economics and Management, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, 510642, China; [2] Research Center for Green Development of Agriculture, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, 510642, China; [3] School of Business, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanghai, 200237, China

年份：2022

外文期刊名：SSRN

收录：EI(收录号：20220464393)

语种：英文

外文关键词：Bicycles - Urban transportation

摘要：Understanding residents’ travel behavior is a prerequisite for transport planning. This paper employs a large sample of wide coverage and a longitudinal survey of ten years from China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) to understand household car ownership and commuter travel mode choice. This paper focuses on habitual behavior by exploiting the longitudinal data, together with other socio-demographics of personals and households to explore determinants of car ownership and commuter travel mode choice by logit model and Multinomial logit (MNL) model. The results show that two-wheel vehicles have a mild substitution effect on car ownership, while people show a higher probability to own cars once they are used to motorcycles in the past. Vehicle ownership determines travel mode choice greatly, and motorcycle or car ownership reduces people to travel by other modes. Besides, there is a strong habit dependence on travel mode choice. Past travel mode choices show a predictive effect on current travel mode choices, especially for public transport, and the likelihood increases by 18 times. Other factors, such as educational level, household size, and income are found to influence both urban and rural household car ownership significantly; gender, age, and personal income play significant effects on travel mode choice. These findings suggest that policy interventions and behavior guiding in the initial stage of transport planning is effective to form sustainable transportation. For example, well-developed public transport and environmental-friendly urban design can improve the attractiveness of non-motorized and public transport to sustain future travel demand, reduce car ownership and control car dependence. ? 2022, The Authors. All rights reserved.