文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：CO2 Emissions from China's Power Industry: Scenarios and Policies for 13th Five-Year Plan

作者：Sun, Wei[1];Meng, Ming[1];He, Yujun[2];Chang, Hong[3]

机构：[1]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Baoding 071003, Hebei, Peoples R China;[2]North China Elect Power Univ, Dept Elect & Commun Engn, Baoding 071003, Hebei, Peoples R China;[3]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Key Lab Adv Control & Optimizat Chem Proc, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China

年份：2016

卷号：9

期号：10

外文期刊名：ENERGIES

收录：;EI(收录号：20172503802515);WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:000388578800066)，SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:000388578800066)】；

基金：This work was supported by "the National Natural Science Fund (71471061, 61603139)", and "the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2016MS128)".

语种：英文

外文关键词：CO2 emissions; power industry; PLS; scenario design

摘要：The extended Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model has been applied to analyzing the relationship between CO2 emissions from power industry and the influential factors for the period from 1997 to 2020. The two groups found through partial least square (PLS) regularity test show two important areas for CO2 emissions reduction from the power industry: economic activity and low-carbon electric technology. Moreover, considering seven influential factors (economic activity, population, urbanization level, industrial structure, electricity intensity, generation structure, and energy intensity) that affect the power CO2 emissions and the practical situation in the power sector, possible development scenarios for the 13th Five-Year Plan period were designed, and the corresponding CO2 emissions from the power sector for different scenarios were estimated. Through scenario analysis, the potential mitigation of emissions from power industry can be determined. Moreover, the CO2 emissions reduction rates in the different scenarios indicate the possible low-carbon development directions and policies for the power industry during the period of the 13th Five Year Plan.