文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：面向技术发展趋势的专利分析模型研究

英文题名：Patent Analysis Model Research for the Technology Development Trend

作者：陈荣[1];曹明[1];孙济庆[1]

机构：[1]华东理工大学科技信息研究所,上海200237

年份：2017

卷号：37

期号：10

起止页码：183

中文期刊名：科技管理研究

外文期刊名：Science and Technology Management Research

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI_E2017_2018】；

语种：中文

中文关键词：专利分析;技术发展趋势;分析模型;汽车尾气净化

外文关键词：technology trend; patent analysis; analysis model; automobile exhaust purification

摘要：基于专利分析的视角,利用Citespace分析工具结合专利综合指数分析方法,引入技术突现率、技术重复率、技术中心度水平、技术综合性指数等指标,构建技术发展趋势研究模型,通过分析得出特定技术领域的研究热点和技术机会,还原技术发展路径,从而预测技术发展趋势。最后对汽车尾气净化技术发展趋势进行实证分析,验证了该分析模型的可行性。
Based on the perspective of patent analysis, with Citespace and patent composite index analysis method, the paper introduced indices such as technology emergence rate, recurrence rate, level for the degree of technology center and technical comprehensive index to build the research model for the technology development trend. Through the analysis of the specific technology field, the paper summarized the research hot spot, technology opportunity and technology development path and then achieved the goal of predicting the technology development trend. Finally, the paper carried out the empirical analysis on the technology development trend of the automobile exhaust purification field to verify the feasibility of the analysis model.