文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：基于贝叶斯网络的公众聚集场所火灾风险分析

英文题名：Fire risk analysis of public gathering places based on Bayesian network

作者：董大旻[1];李凯豪[1];张广利[2]

机构：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237;[2]华东理工大学社会与公共管理学院,上海200237

年份：2018

卷号：37

期号：4

起止页码：545

中文期刊名：消防科学与技术

外文期刊名：Fire Science and Technology

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2017】；

基金：国家社科基金重大项目"特大城市社会风险系统治理研究"(16ZDA083)

语种：中文

中文关键词：火灾;风险评估;贝叶斯网络;敏感性分析

外文关键词：fire;risk assessment;Bayesian networks;sensitivity analysis

摘要：通过识别田子坊的火灾风险因素,建立贝叶斯网络火灾风险模型,对田子坊整体火灾风险以及各栋建筑火灾风险进行风险评估。对各火灾风险因素进行敏感性分析,识别对火灾风险影响显著的因素,针对显著因素提出田子坊整体及各商铺建筑的火灾风险改进意见。
Based on the identification of fire risk factor of Tianzifang, the Bayesian network fire risk model was built,the overall fire risk and the fire risk of each building were assessed.The sensitivity of the fire risk factors was analyzed, and the significant factors affecting fire risk were identified. Against the significant fire risk factors, the improvement advice of fire risk in Tianzifang and each shop were put forward.