文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Analysis of technology pathway of China's liquid fuel production with consideration of energy supply security and carbon price

作者：Ding, Bingqing[1];Makowski, Marek[2,3];Zhao, Jinyang[1];Ren, Hongtao[1,2];Zakeri, Behnam[2];Ma, Tieju[1,2]

机构：[1]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China;[2]Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria;[3]Syst Res Inst, Polish Acad Sci, Newelska 6, PL-01447 Warsaw, Poland

年份：2023

卷号：8

期号：1

起止页码：1

外文期刊名：JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING

收录：WOS:【ESCI(收录号:WOS:000926635100001)】；

基金：The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers 71961137012, 71874055) and the National Science Centre, Poland (2018/30/Q/HS4/00764), and the research support by the Energy, Climate and Environment Program of International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA) within the Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) .

语种：英文

外文关键词：Liquid fuel production; System optimization model; Energy supply security; Carbon prices

摘要：Efforts to provide alternative resources and technologies for producing liquid fuel have recently been intensified. Different levels of dependence on oil imports and carbon prices have a significant impact on the composition of the cost-minimizing portfolio of tech-nologies. Considering such factors, how should China plan its future liquid fuel industry? The model for supporting the technology portfolio and capacity configuration that mini-mizes the total system cost until 2045 is described in this study. The results obtained for different carbon prices and levels of dependence on oil import indicate that the oil-to-liquid fuel (OTL) will remain dominant in China's liquid fuel industry over the next three decades. If the carbon price is low, the coal-to-liquid fuel (CTL) process is competi-tive. For a high carbon price, the biomass-to-liquid fuel (BTL) technology expands more rapidly. The results also reveal that developing the BTL and CTL can effectively reduce the oil-import dependency; moreover, a high carbon price can lead to the CTL being replaced with the low-carbon technology (e.g., BTL). Improvement in energy raw material conver-sion and application of CO2 removal technologies are also effective methods to control carbon emissions for achieving the carbon emission goals and ultimately emission reduction targets.(c) 2022 China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. Publishing Services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).