文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Understanding project cost contingency estimation: a holistic risk perspective

作者：Zhang, Liting[1];Li, Yadi[2];Sun, Ning[3];Ning, Yan[1]

机构：[1]Nanjing Univ, Sch Management & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China;[2]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai, Peoples R China;[3]UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London, England

年份：2025

卷号：18

期号：1

起止页码：139

外文期刊名：INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGING PROJECTS IN BUSINESS

收录：;WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:001393254800001)】；

基金：This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72271118, 72301103).

语种：英文

外文关键词：Project cost contingency; Risk; Systematic literature review

摘要：Purpose - Cost contingency is widely employed to address project risks. This systematic literature review aims to develop a framework for understanding risks in project cost contingency estimation. Design/methodology/approach - A systematic literature review of 859 abstracts and 67 full articles was conducted using a framework synthesis method. Findings - The study establishes a six-element risk framework for project cost contingency estimation, encompassing event, consequence, uncertainty, probability, knowledge, and mitigation. Twelve risk dimensions in the project cost contingency estimation are further developed. Originality/value - This study contributes to the project management literature by constructing a framework for understanding risks in project cost contingency estimation. This framework provides guidance for enhancing the accuracy of project cost contingency estimation.