文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：能源替代弹性与中国经济结构调整

英文题名：The Elasticity of Energy Substitution and Restructuring of China’s Economy

作者：于立宏[1];贺媛[1]

机构：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237

年份：2013

期号：4

起止页码：30

中文期刊名：中国工业经济

外文期刊名：China Industrial Economics

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2011】；社科基金资助期刊;CSSCI:【CSSCI2012_2013】；

基金：国家自然科学基金杰出青年科学基金项目"技术演化与能源系统分析"(批准号71125002);上海市科技发展基金软科学项目"上海战略性新兴产业需求政策研究--产业链视角的风电政策研究"(批准号12692100600)

语种：中文

中文关键词：替代弹性;能源结构调整;产业结构调整

外文关键词：elasticity of substitution; energy structure adjustment; industrial structure adjustment

摘要：调整产业结构和能源结构是中国转变经济增长模式的两个关键路径。然而,其可行性取决于能源与要素以及能源间的可替代性。本文运用超对数成本函数和AES替代弹性估算了中国要素间(资本、劳动、能源)以及能源间(煤炭、石油、电力)的相关替代弹性。结果表明,中国能源间的替代、互补效应较弱,能源的自价格弹性亦很低;而劳动对能源的替代性较强,资本和能源之间先替代后互补。因此,应建立以市场化价格机制为核心的能源替代战略,以及依托于发展低碳产业和节能产业的产业结构调整和优化来实现经济增长模式转变。
The critical paths of the transformation of the economic growth model in China are the industrial structure and the energy structure adjustment, however, its feasibility depends on substitutability between energy and factors, one kind of energy and another. This paper estimated the elasticity of substitution between factors （capital, labor, energy） and between energies （coal, petroleum, and electric power） using Translog cost function and AES elasticity of substitution. The results argue that the effects of substitution and complementary between energies are low, and price elasticity of energy demand is very low while the substitution of labor to energy is significant, the relationship between capital and energy is substitute in several yeas, but complement after then. Therefore, our suggestions are that energy substitution strategies should be established by market mechanism, and the model transformation of the economic growth should be fulfilled by developing low carbon industry and energy- saving industries to adjust and optimize industrial structure.