文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：长三角城市群碳排放、能源消费与经济增长的互动关系——基于面板联立方程模型的实证

英文题名：Carbon Emissions, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration: Based on an Empirical Study of Panel Simultaneous Equations Models

作者：徐如浓[1];吴玉鸣[1]

机构：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237

年份：2016

卷号：32

期号：12

起止页码：32

中文期刊名：生态经济

外文期刊名：Ecological Economy

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI_E2014_2016】；

基金：国家自然科学基金项目"时空效应视角下区域碳生产率趋同机制及减排策略研究"(71373079);浙江省哲学社会科学规划重点项目"浙江省农村可再生能源开发利用政策体系研究"(11YD07Z)

语种：中文

中文关键词：碳排放;能源消费;经济增长;长三角城市群;面板联立方程模型

外文关键词：carbon emissions; energy consumption; economic growth; Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration; panel simultaneous equations models

摘要：正确厘清长三角城市群碳排放、能源消费和经济增长之间的关系是制定长三角节能减排政策所面临的重要问题。文章利用2006～2013年长三角16个地级市面板数据,构建面板联立方程模型实证检验了碳排放、能源消费和经济增长之间的关系。结果表明：（1）长三角城市群能源消费与经济增长之间、能源消费与碳排放之间、经济增长与碳排放之间均存在双向因果关系;（2）能源消费是经济增长的决定因素,但随着长三角城市群经济的增长,能源强度有降低的趋势;（3）能源结构中高碳能源消费比重的降低有助于碳减排,更多的碳排放亦会导致更高的能源消费需求;（4）适当的碳减排有助于促进经济增长,同时随着人均GDP的进一步增加,长三角城市群环境污染会由高趋低。
It is an important issue faced by Yangtze River Delta to clarify the nexus among carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration in formulating the emission reduction policies. Based on a systematic review of the existing literature, this paper examines the nexus among carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth empirically by using simultaneous equations models with panel data of 16 cities in Yangtze River Delta over the period of 2006-2013. The results show that： first, there exists a bidirectional causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions, economic growth and carbon emissions; second, energy consumption is the decisive factor of the economic growth in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration, but energy intensity has a downward tendency with economic growth; third, the reduction of the ratio of high-carbon energy in energy consumption structure can contribute to carbon emission reduction, and more carbon emissions will lead to higher energy demand; fourth, appropriate reduction of carbon emission can be conducive to economic growth, and the degree of environmental pollution tends to be lower with the further increase of the per capita GDP.