文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：The optimal industrial carbon tax for China under carbon intensity constraints: a dynamic input-output optimization model

作者：Ma, Ning[1];Yin, GuangWei[2];Li, Huajiao[3];Sun, WenLi[1];Wang, Ze[4,5];Liu, Gang[6];Xie, Dan[7]

机构：[1]Beijing Foreign Studies Univ, Int Business Sch, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China;[2]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China;[3]China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China;[4]Beijing Normal Univ Zhuhai, Int Acad Ctr Complex Syst, Beijing 519087, Peoples R China;[5]Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Syst Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;[6]Beijing Foreign Studies Univ, Logist Dept, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China;[7]Queen Mary Univ London, Sch Econ & Finance, London E1 4NS, England

年份：2022

卷号：29

期号：35

起止页码：53191

外文期刊名：ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH

收录：;EI(收录号：20242616360383);WOS:【SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:000767739100001)】；

基金：This research is supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41871202, No.71991481 and No.71991480), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No. 3-7-6-2021-14 and No. 35842020061), and China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2020M680435 and No. 2021M690456).

语种：英文

外文关键词：Input-output method; Optimal carbon tax; Tax rate model; Industry; China

摘要：To reduce carbon emissions, the Chinese government is considering introducing a differentiated industrial carbon tax on enterprises outside the carbon trading market in the future. An efficient carbon tax must consider not only how carbon taxes impact the current economy but also how the size of the tax should be adjusted across time due to external changes. To calculate the optimal industrial carbon tax for China which is subject to certain constraints, this paper investigates the economic and environmental effects of four possible industrial carbon tax rate models under carbon intensity constraints from 2021 to 2030 by a dynamic input-output optimization model. The results show that the dynamic tax rate model leads to larger fluctuations in GDP growth than the other tax models, with a low initial tax rate in the beginning and a high tax rate exceeding yen 180/t in 2030. Second, a large quantity of capital stock is distributed across the energy-intensive industries, which leads the existing capital investment structure to be path-dependent. This offsets the performance of carbon taxes. Third, indirect energy-intensive industries such as construction and transport are insensitive to the industrial carbon tax. Finally, comparing the impacts of the four tax rate models, the optimal industrial carbon tax for China is found to be a fixed differentiated tax rate, in which energy-intensive sectors are taxed yen 75/t and low-carbon sectors are taxed yen 50/t.