文献类型：会议论文

英文题名：A Probability Based Approach to Evaluation of New Energy Alternatives

作者：Yan, Hong-Bin[1]

机构：[1]East China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Meilong Rd 130, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China

会议论文集：5th International Symposium on Integrated Uncertainty in Knowledge Modelling and Decision Making (IUKM)

会议日期：NOV 30-DEC 02, 2016

会议地点：Da Nang, VIETNAM

语种：英文

外文关键词：Linguistic energy planning; Group aggregation; Multi-criteria aggregation; PROMETHEE-II; Fuel modes

摘要：Exploitation of new and innovative energy alternatives is a key means toward a sustainable energy system. This paper proposes a novel model for linguistic energy planning with an application to public transportation. In particular, a probability based approach is firstly introduced to perform group aggregation based on a random interpretation of an evaluation-team's judgments. Secondly, a weighted approach is proposed to perform multi-criteria aggregation based on the concept of stochastic dominance degree, which results with a matrix of overall stochastic dominance degrees of different alternatives. Thirdly, a choice function based on the idea of the PROMETHEE-II method is developed to rank and select the best/desired alternative(s), which can divide the alternatives into two classes: positive (acceptable) and negative (unacceptable) ones. Our model is used to re-evaluate the technological development of public transportation with 12 alternative fuel modes.